League Cup Wales Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Llanelli AFC vs Port Talbot Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
16.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
LLA
2 - 1
NEW
82%
12%
6%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
LLA
2 - 1
TNS
56%
23%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
BAN
2 - 0
LLA
48%
24%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
LLA
0 - 3
POR
65%
20%
15%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -3 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
AIR
1 - 2
LLA
21%
24%
55%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Port Talbot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
POR
1 - 2
BAN
33%
26%
42%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2010 |
POR
1 - 1
ABE
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
AIR
2 - 0
POR
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2010 |
POR
1 - 2
CAR
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
LLA
0 - 3
POR
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |