Llanelli AFC vs Gefle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
29.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2006 |
GEF
1 - 2
LLA
50%
24%
26%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
LLA
1 - 1
RHY
44%
24%
32%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2006 |
CON
1 - 0
LLA
26%
25%
49%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
TNS
0 - 0
LLA
53%
23%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2006 |
LLA
2 - 2
NEW
80%
14%
7%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Gefle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2006 |
GEF
4 - 3
MFF
31%
28%
42%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2006 |
GAI
1 - 0
GEF
34%
28%
38%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2006 |
GEF
1 - 2
LLA
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2006 |
HAL
0 - 3
GEF
60%
22%
19%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2006 |
GEF
4 - 2
ATV
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |