Llanelli AFC vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.3%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.3%
5.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
HAV
1 - 1
LLA
27%
23%
51%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
POR
0 - 0
LLA
32%
25%
43%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
LLA
2 - 2
AIR
83%
12%
5%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2009 |
LLA
0 - 3
MHE
55%
22%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2009 |
MHE
0 - 1
LLA
51%
22%
27%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
CON
3 - 2
POR
55%
22%
23%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
CON
3 - 1
CEF
56%
22%
22%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
CAE
0 - 0
CON
40%
24%
37%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
NEA
1 - 1
CON
57%
22%
20%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
LLA
4 - 1
CON
83%
11%
5%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |