Llanelli AFC vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
6.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2007 |
LLA
2 - 0
WEL
59%
20%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
AIR
0 - 1
LLA
15%
20%
65%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
LLA
0 - 1
POR
85%
11%
4%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
HAV
1 - 4
LLA
24%
24%
52%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
LLU
3 - 5
LLA
15%
18%
67%
|
68 | 10 | 58 | +1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
CON
1 - 2
POR
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
POR
2 - 1
CON
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2007 |
CON
0 - 7
BAN
29%
25%
46%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
CON
0 - 2
GUI
75%
16%
9%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2007 |
CON
1 - 2
RHY
25%
23%
53%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |