Llanelli AFC vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
CAE
0 - 3
LLA
31%
25%
45%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
BAN
4 - 0
LLA
35%
25%
41%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2006 |
LLA
1 - 2
ABE
55%
21%
24%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
LLA
4 - 0
AIR
85%
11%
5%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
TNS
0 - 2
LLA
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2006 |
CON
1 - 0
POR
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
ABE
1 - 1
CON
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
CON
2 - 1
POR
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
CWM
0 - 1
CON
47%
24%
28%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2006 |
RHY
2 - 0
CON
64%
20%
16%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |