Llanelli AFC vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
35.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
LLA
3 - 3
CAE
44%
25%
32%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2003 |
BAR
1 - 0
LLA
80%
14%
7%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
LLA
2 - 3
ABE
26%
24%
51%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
NEW
2 - 1
LLA
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
LLA
3 - 5
CON
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
CEF
2 - 0
NEW
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
CON
4 - 1
CEF
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2003 |
CEF
2 - 1
CAE
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2003 |
LID
0 - 3
CEF
61%
23%
17%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +2 |
| 26 Dec. 2002 |
CEF
0 - 0
OSW
47%
23%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |