Llanelli AFC vs Caersws analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.8%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.9%
5-0
7.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
+5
9.4%
4-0
11.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.3%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
7.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.6%
2.5%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
RHY
0 - 0
LLA
47%
24%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
LLA
3 - 1
CAR
65%
18%
17%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2009 |
TNS
4 - 1
LLA
48%
23%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
LLA
8 - 1
ABE
69%
17%
14%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
LLA
4 - 0
CEF
87%
9%
4%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
CAE
1 - 2
POR
20%
25%
55%
|
41 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
CAE
4 - 1
CPU
83%
12%
6%
|
41 | 9 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
CAE
0 - 4
AIR
28%
25%
48%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
CEF
1 - 1
CAE
61%
21%
18%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2009 |
CAE
1 - 1
POR
41%
24%
35%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |