Llanelli AFC vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
12.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
BAL
4 - 0
LLA
42%
25%
34%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
LLA
0 - 1
CON
70%
17%
12%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
NEW
1 - 2
LLA
29%
25%
46%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
LLA
0 - 2
LID
79%
14%
8%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
LID
0 - 1
LLA
19%
23%
58%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
ABE
4 - 3
LID
58%
21%
21%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
CON
1 - 1
ABE
65%
20%
16%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
NEW
0 - 0
ABE
54%
23%
23%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2013 |
ABE
1 - 3
BAL
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
TNS
3 - 0
ABE
82%
12%
6%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |