Llanelli AFC vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
12.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
BAL
1 - 0
LLA
20%
23%
58%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2010 |
POR
0 - 2
LLA
39%
24%
37%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2010 |
LLA
1 - 4
NEA
77%
15%
8%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2010 |
HAV
0 - 4
LLA
23%
25%
52%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
PRE
1 - 1
LLA
20%
23%
57%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
TNS
5 - 0
ABE
72%
17%
11%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2010 |
ABE
3 - 0
HAV
60%
21%
19%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
ABE
2 - 1
BAL
69%
20%
12%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
BAN
2 - 1
ABE
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2010 |
HAV
1 - 1
ABE
31%
25%
44%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |