Llanelli AFC vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.4%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
10.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2009 |
HAV
0 - 1
LLA
24%
24%
53%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
LLA
0 - 2
TNS
58%
22%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2009 |
LLA
7 - 1
CAE
90%
8%
3%
|
67 | 41 | 26 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
RHY
0 - 0
LLA
47%
24%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
LLA
3 - 1
CAR
65%
18%
17%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
ABE
4 - 1
CEF
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2009 |
ABE
1 - 0
BAL
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
HAV
1 - 2
ABE
44%
25%
31%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
POR
0 - 1
ABE
34%
25%
40%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
LLA
8 - 1
ABE
69%
17%
14%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |