Llanelli AFC vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
16.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
LLA
1 - 5
LLA
16%
22%
61%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2007 |
LLA
3 - 1
POR
74%
16%
10%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
LLA
1 - 0
CEF
85%
11%
4%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
RHY
1 - 2
LLA
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
LLA
3 - 0
WEL
62%
21%
18%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
ABE
1 - 0
CEF
72%
19%
10%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2007 |
HAV
1 - 2
ABE
42%
26%
33%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
ABE
2 - 3
WEL
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
ABE
5 - 1
TNS
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2007 |
ABE
1 - 1
CAR
49%
24%
27%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |