Llanelli AFC vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
23.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
LLA
4 - 0
AIR
85%
11%
5%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
TNS
0 - 2
LLA
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
LLA
3 - 1
CEF
83%
12%
5%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
CAE
2 - 6
LLA
22%
24%
54%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2006 |
LLA
3 - 2
HAV
53%
24%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2006 |
ABE
4 - 2
CAR
52%
25%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
BAN
1 - 4
ABE
42%
24%
33%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
ABE
1 - 1
AIR
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2006 |
TNS
4 - 1
ABE
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2006 |
ABE
3 - 0
CEF
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |