Llanelli AFC vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
43.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
TNS
4 - 2
LLA
75%
17%
9%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2005 |
CWM
2 - 0
LLA
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2005 |
LLA
1 - 2
POR
54%
22%
24%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
AIR
0 - 3
LLA
69%
18%
14%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2005 |
LLA
0 - 3
HAV
27%
26%
48%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2005 |
TNS
3 - 1
ABE
51%
24%
26%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2005 |
ABE
0 - 0
CAR
50%
25%
24%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2005 |
WEL
2 - 0
ABE
31%
24%
45%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
AIR
1 - 2
ABE
24%
24%
52%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2005 |
ABE
1 - 0
CAE
35%
26%
39%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |