Llanberis vs Porthmadog analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.6%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.4%
82.2%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
6%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
18.1%
0-4
7.9%
1-5
3.6%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
12.3%
0-5
4.8%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
7%
0-6
2.4%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.3%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.4%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llanberis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
MOL
4 - 0
BER
88%
8%
4%
|
8 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
BER
0 - 3
CAE
9%
14%
77%
|
9 | 46 | 37 | -1 |
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
POR
0 - 0
PEN
57%
22%
22%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
LLA
1 - 3
POR
8%
13%
79%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
POR
2 - 0
RTW
45%
24%
32%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
LLA
4 - 2
POR
32%
22%
46%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
POR
1 - 2
PRE
27%
22%
51%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |