Som Maresme FC vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
11.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
58.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
18.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.9%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Som Maresme FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 2
SMR
32%
27%
41%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
SMR
1 - 2
ALC
34%
27%
39%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
PRA
2 - 3
SMR
29%
28%
43%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
HUR
1 - 1
SMR
53%
26%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
SMR
1 - 2
OLI
58%
24%
17%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
BET
1 - 0
VCF
34%
26%
40%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
BAT
0 - 3
VCF
23%
25%
52%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
VCF
3 - 2
ATH
60%
21%
19%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
LEV
1 - 0
VCF
31%
26%
43%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
VCF
2 - 0
LIL
54%
23%
23%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |