Livorno vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
41.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2020 |
PRG
1 - 0
LIV
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
LIV
4 - 4
ACD
30%
28%
42%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
EMP
1 - 1
LIV
76%
16%
9%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
LIV
0 - 2
PES
23%
26%
51%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
CRO
2 - 1
LIV
68%
20%
13%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ASC
0 - 1
FRO
38%
27%
34%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
TRA
3 - 1
ASC
28%
27%
46%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
BEN
4 - 0
ASC
70%
18%
12%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
ASC
1 - 0
PIS
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
POR
2 - 1
ASC
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |