Livingston vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
36.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
EDI
0 - 3
LIV
42%
24%
34%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
LIV
2 - 3
STM
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2016 |
LIV
1 - 1
STJ
15%
21%
64%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2016 |
LIV
2 - 2
GRE
34%
26%
40%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
LIV
4 - 3
STR
34%
27%
40%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
AYR
1 - 0
EDI
56%
22%
22%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
STM
1 - 0
AYR
46%
25%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
AYR
2 - 1
HAM
28%
24%
48%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
AYR
0 - 0
STR
48%
24%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
STR
1 - 1
AYR
46%
24%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |