Lituania U21 vs Ucrania U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
70.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lituania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LTU
0 - 4
IRN
59%
23%
18%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
LTU
0 - 0
KAZ
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
UKR
1 - 1
LTU
81%
14%
6%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2012 |
BLR
0 - 1
LTU
81%
14%
6%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
IRN
3 - 0
LTU
23%
23%
54%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | -2 |
Matches
Ucrania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2012 |
UKR
6 - 0
SWE
35%
27%
39%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
NED
0 - 0
UKR
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2012 |
UKR
3 - 0
ALB
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
ISR
4 - 0
UKR
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -2 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
POR
2 - 0
UKR
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |