Lituania U21 vs Ucrania U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
63.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lituania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
TJK
2 - 4
LTU
23%
24%
53%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2013 |
LTU
2 - 0
MDA
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
LTU
0 - 0
TUK
75%
16%
9%
|
46 | 13 | 33 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
UKR
3 - 0
LTU
77%
16%
7%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2012 |
FIN
1 - 0
LTU
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Ucrania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
UKR
5 - 0
MDA
78%
15%
7%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2013 |
UKR
5 - 0
TUK
83%
13%
5%
|
70 | 14 | 56 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
MDA
0 - 2
UKR
14%
23%
63%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
UKR
3 - 0
LTU
77%
16%
7%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2012 |
POR
0 - 1
UKR
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |