Lituania U21 vs Serbia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.4%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.1%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
79%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
15.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23%
0-3
12.3%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
16.7%
0-4
7.4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lituania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
IRL
3 - 0
LTU
70%
19%
11%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
SRB
5 - 0
LTU
85%
11%
4%
|
40 | 68 | 28 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
SVN
3 - 0
LTU
76%
17%
8%
|
40 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2015 |
AND
1 - 0
LTU
39%
24%
37%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
EST
2 - 1
LTU
39%
26%
36%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Serbia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
SRB
5 - 0
AND
86%
11%
4%
|
68 | 36 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
SRB
5 - 0
LTU
85%
11%
4%
|
68 | 40 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2015 |
DEN
2 - 0
SRB
50%
23%
28%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
SRB
0 - 4
CZE
40%
25%
35%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2015 |
GER
1 - 1
SRB
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |