Lithuania U21 vs Portugal U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
67.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lithuania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2010 |
LTU
1 - 1
EST
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2010 |
LTU
2 - 1
LVA
31%
25%
43%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
EST
0 - 0
LTU
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2009 |
LTU
0 - 0
ENG
9%
18%
73%
|
45 | 80 | 35 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2009 |
LTU
1 - 0
MKD
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Portugal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2010 |
POR
0 - 0
NED
50%
25%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2010 |
POR
3 - 1
NED
46%
25%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2010 |
POR
0 - 2
SWE
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2009 |
POR
2 - 1
GRC
58%
23%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
ENG
1 - 0
POR
55%
23%
21%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |