Lithuania U21 vs Moldova U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
39.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lithuania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
RUS
3 - 0
LTU
86%
11%
4%
|
44 | 75 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
LTU
1 - 2
LVA
45%
26%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
MDA
3 - 0
LTU
47%
26%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
ENG
5 - 0
LTU
88%
10%
2%
|
46 | 80 | 34 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
WAL
2 - 0
LTU
69%
19%
11%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Moldova U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2014 |
RUS
3 - 0
MDA
83%
12%
5%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
MDA
3 - 0
LTU
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
MDA
2 - 0
SMR
66%
19%
14%
|
48 | 20 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
MDA
1 - 0
FIN
24%
26%
50%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
MDA
0 - 0
WAL
20%
24%
56%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |