Lituania U21 vs Macedonia del Norte U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
31.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lituania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2009 |
GRC
1 - 0
LTU
80%
13%
6%
|
44 | 70 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
MKD
1 - 1
LTU
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
POR
4 - 1
LTU
82%
12%
5%
|
44 | 76 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
LTU
2 - 3
GEO
38%
26%
37%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
LTU
0 - 1
GRC
15%
21%
64%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Macedonia del Norte U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2009 |
MKD
1 - 1
POR
13%
20%
68%
|
45 | 76 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
ENG
6 - 3
MKD
86%
11%
3%
|
45 | 79 | 34 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
MKD
1 - 1
LTU
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
MKD
1 - 2
ENG
10%
19%
71%
|
45 | 79 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
GRC
3 - 1
MKD
80%
14%
7%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | 0 |