Lituania U21 vs Italia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.1%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
1%
3-2
0.1%
+1
3.5%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.5%
82.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
18.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
24.1%
0-3
14.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
17.8%
0-4
8.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
10.1%
0-5
4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lituania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
LTU
1 - 0
SVN
12%
22%
66%
|
40 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
LTU
1 - 0
AND
47%
23%
31%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2016 |
LVA
2 - 0
LTU
53%
25%
22%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
ITA
2 - 0
LTU
81%
15%
4%
|
40 | 82 | 42 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
LTU
3 - 1
IRL
17%
25%
58%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | +2 |
Matches
Italia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
ITA
3 - 0
AND
87%
10%
3%
|
81 | 34 | 47 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 1
SRB
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 0
ALB
77%
17%
6%
|
81 | 51 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 1
FRA
40%
26%
35%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
AND
0 - 1
ITA
7%
15%
78%
|
82 | 35 | 47 | 0 |