Lithuania U21 vs Irán U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lithuania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
LTU
0 - 0
KAZ
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
UKR
1 - 1
LTU
81%
14%
6%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2012 |
BLR
0 - 1
LTU
81%
14%
6%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
IRN
3 - 0
LTU
23%
23%
54%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | -2 |
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
TJK
0 - 0
LTU
20%
23%
57%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Irán U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
IRN
3 - 0
MDA
20%
23%
57%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
IRN
1 - 4
LVA
21%
23%
56%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | -3 |
| 23 Jan. 2012 |
IRN
5 - 0
TJK
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
IRN
3 - 0
LTU
23%
23%
54%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | +6 |
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
BLR
0 - 0
IRN
80%
14%
6%
|
24 | 67 | 43 | +1 |