Lituania U21 vs Georgia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lituania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2005 |
GER
3 - 0
LTU
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2005 |
LTU
1 - 2
BEL
19%
22%
59%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2005 |
LTU
0 - 2
SYM
29%
23%
48%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2005 |
LTU
1 - 0
BIH
46%
24%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
SYM
3 - 2
LTU
68%
18%
14%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Georgia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2006 |
GEO
2 - 1
MLT
75%
16%
10%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
MLT
1 - 2
GEO
26%
23%
52%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2005 |
GRC
3 - 0
GEO
76%
16%
9%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2005 |
GEO
0 - 1
KAZ
49%
23%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2005 |
DEN
1 - 0
GEO
82%
12%
6%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | -1 |