Lituania U21 vs Gales U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
72.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lituania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
LTU
1 - 2
DEN
7%
18%
75%
|
39 | 74 | 35 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
LTU
1 - 2
LVA
34%
27%
39%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
EST
5 - 1
LTU
24%
24%
53%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -3 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
HUN
1 - 0
LTU
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
LTU
1 - 1
NIR
27%
27%
46%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Gales U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
WAL
4 - 0
LIE
76%
16%
9%
|
57 | 11 | 46 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
DEN
2 - 2
WAL
81%
13%
7%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
WAL
3 - 0
SCO
40%
25%
35%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
COL
0 - 2
WAL
78%
15%
7%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
AUT
2 - 0
WAL
82%
12%
6%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | -1 |