Lithuania U21 vs Finland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
38.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lithuania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2007 |
SCO
3 - 0
LTU
57%
23%
21%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2007 |
LTU
0 - 0
SVN
38%
26%
37%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
DEN
4 - 0
LTU
80%
13%
7%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2007 |
LTU
1 - 3
AUT
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2007 |
SVN
2 - 1
LTU
56%
22%
22%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Finland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
FIN
1 - 0
SVN
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
FIN
3 - 2
SCO
40%
25%
35%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
DEN
0 - 1
FIN
79%
13%
7%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
FIN
1 - 5
RUS
20%
21%
59%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
HUN
5 - 0
FIN
66%
19%
15%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |