Lituania U21 vs Estonia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lituania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2010 |
LTU
2 - 1
LVA
31%
25%
43%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
EST
0 - 0
LTU
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2009 |
LTU
0 - 0
ENG
9%
18%
73%
|
45 | 80 | 35 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2009 |
LTU
1 - 0
MKD
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2009 |
GRC
1 - 0
LTU
80%
13%
6%
|
44 | 70 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Estonia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2010 |
LVA
1 - 0
EST
64%
21%
15%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
EST
1 - 0
TUR
11%
19%
70%
|
39 | 72 | 33 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2010 |
EST
2 - 3
ARM
24%
22%
54%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
GEO
2 - 0
EST
66%
20%
15%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
EST
0 - 0
LTU
41%
25%
34%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |