Lithuania U21 vs Scotland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
46.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lithuania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2008 |
LVA
1 - 0
LTU
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2008 |
EST
0 - 4
LTU
27%
25%
49%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2008 |
BLR
2 - 0
LTU
74%
17%
10%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
FIN
2 - 1
LTU
57%
23%
21%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2007 |
LTU
0 - 3
DEN
15%
21%
65%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Scotland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2008 |
SCO
1 - 4
NOR
28%
24%
48%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
SCO
2 - 1
FIN
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
SCO
2 - 2
UKR
34%
25%
41%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2008 |
POR
2 - 1
SCO
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
SVN
0 - 4
SCO
42%
24%
33%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |