Lituania U21 vs Croacia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
39.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lituania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1994 |
SVN
3 - 0
LTU
58%
21%
21%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1994 |
CRO
2 - 0
LTU
62%
22%
17%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1994 |
UKR
3 - 2
LTU
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Croacia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1995 |
CRO
1 - 0
UKR
49%
25%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1994 |
ITA
2 - 1
CRO
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1994 |
CRO
2 - 0
LTU
62%
22%
17%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1994 |
EST
1 - 2
CRO
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |