Lithuania U21 vs Belarus U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
56.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lithuania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
LTU
1 - 1
WAL
17%
24%
58%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
LTU
0 - 1
ENG
9%
19%
72%
|
42 | 81 | 39 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2014 |
LTU
0 - 3
MDA
39%
27%
34%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
POL
5 - 0
LTU
74%
17%
9%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
LTU
1 - 0
LVA
43%
27%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Belarus U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
ARM
2 - 1
BLR
39%
25%
36%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
BLR
5 - 0
LIE
80%
14%
6%
|
58 | 7 | 51 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
MDA
1 - 0
BLR
24%
26%
51%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2014 |
FRA
1 - 0
BLR
78%
16%
6%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
EST
0 - 2
BLR
18%
23%
60%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |