Lithuania U21 vs Germany U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
59.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lithuania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2001 |
GEO
4 - 1
LTU
54%
22%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2001 |
LTU
0 - 3
ITA
10%
21%
70%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2001 |
LTU
1 - 0
ROU
24%
24%
52%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2001 |
ITA
1 - 0
LTU
88%
10%
3%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2001 |
HUN
4 - 1
LTU
60%
21%
19%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Germany U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2002 |
ITA
0 - 2
GER
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2002 |
GER
2 - 2
IRL
85%
11%
5%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2002 |
GER
2 - 1
ITA
40%
27%
34%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2002 |
GER
3 - 3
JPN
76%
15%
9%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2002 |
GER
1 - 1
RSA
89%
9%
2%
|
75 | 19 | 56 | 0 |