Lituania U19 vs Escocia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
58.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lituania U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
NOR
2 - 0
LTU
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2014 |
LTU
1 - 3
DEN
19%
22%
60%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2014 |
ESP
2 - 0
LTU
86%
10%
4%
|
38 | 78 | 40 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
GER
2 - 0
LTU
87%
10%
4%
|
38 | 68 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
LTU
1 - 0
ARM
36%
25%
40%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Escocia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
SCO
2 - 2
FIN
59%
21%
19%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2014 |
SCO
0 - 1
MNE
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2014 |
ENG
2 - 1
SCO
64%
20%
16%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
UKR
0 - 0
SCO
56%
22%
22%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
SCO
1 - 1
GER
21%
21%
58%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |