Lituania U19 vs Bulgaria U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
53.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lituania U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
BEL
4 - 1
LTU
79%
14%
7%
|
37 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2024 |
ENG
1 - 0
LTU
86%
11%
3%
|
37 | 73 | 36 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
LTU
2 - 0
FRA
6%
16%
78%
|
35 | 76 | 41 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 0
LTU
80%
14%
6%
|
35 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
NED
4 - 0
LTU
81%
13%
6%
|
35 | 64 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
ENG
2 - 1
BGR
82%
13%
4%
|
46 | 73 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2024 |
BGR
1 - 1
BEL
13%
19%
68%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
AND
2 - 1
BGR
6%
15%
79%
|
47 | 18 | 29 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
SRB
0 - 0
BGR
73%
17%
10%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
BGR
0 - 0
SCO
26%
22%
52%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |