Lituania U19 vs Bulgaria U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
31.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lituania U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2003 |
LTU
1 - 1
SMR
72%
17%
11%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
ARM
0 - 5
LTU
30%
25%
45%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2002 |
ITA
3 - 1
LTU
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
LTU
1 - 3
SVK
29%
25%
47%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
ENG
2 - 1
LTU
7%
17%
76%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Bulgaria U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2003 |
IRL
1 - 1
BGR
58%
22%
21%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
BGR
3 - 1
EST
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2002 |
BGR
0 - 2
DEN
33%
25%
43%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2002 |
SUI
3 - 1
BGR
57%
22%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2002 |
BGR
1 - 3
CZE
34%
25%
42%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |