Litomericko vs Varnsdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
67.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Litomericko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
SOK
2 - 1
LIT
75%
16%
9%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
FCJ
0 - 4
LIT
6%
11%
83%
|
43 | 9 | 34 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
TEP
6 - 0
LIT
85%
12%
4%
|
43 | 75 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
LIT
1 - 1
PEV
22%
23%
54%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
POL
0 - 0
LIT
20%
20%
61%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Varnsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
SLO
0 - 0
SOK
58%
23%
20%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 0
SLO
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
SLO
1 - 0
FKM
52%
23%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2018 |
ZNO
1 - 1
SLO
46%
25%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2018 |
JAB
5 - 0
SLO
80%
14%
6%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | 0 |