Litomericko vs Varnsdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.3%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
73.3%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Litomericko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
STE
1 - 1
LIT
21%
21%
58%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
LIT
4 - 2
MOT
40%
24%
36%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
SOK
2 - 2
LIT
50%
23%
27%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
LIT
1 - 0
LOK
71%
17%
12%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
LOV
3 - 1
LIT
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Varnsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
HRA
4 - 0
SLO
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
TEP
2 - 3
SLO
68%
20%
13%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
UST
0 - 0
SLO
28%
27%
45%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
SLO
0 - 0
SIG
34%
27%
39%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
FCV
1 - 3
SLO
32%
27%
41%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |