Lisse vs Excelsior Maassluis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2017 |
LIS
2 - 2
HOE
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
DED
0 - 3
LIS
64%
19%
17%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
LIS
1 - 3
KON
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
DET
3 - 3
LIS
34%
25%
41%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
VVS
1 - 1
LIS
31%
24%
44%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 1
KOZ
25%
23%
52%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
GVV
1 - 0
EXC
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 1
KON
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
ACH
3 - 0
EXC
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -3 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
TIE
1 - 1
EXC
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |