Lisse vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
LIS
1 - 0
DVS
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
6 - 2
LIS
38%
26%
37%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
LIS
2 - 0
AJA
69%
18%
13%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2022 |
DOV
0 - 0
LIS
20%
23%
57%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
HOE
2 - 1
LIS
31%
26%
44%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
EXC
0 - 0
BAR
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
EXC
2 - 1
VVO
73%
16%
11%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 2
EXC
44%
24%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
EXC
1 - 0
DOV
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
EXC
2 - 0
STA
48%
23%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |