Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 0-2
Lisburn Distillery vs Zalgiris Vilnius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
ZAL
1 - 0
LIS
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
LIS
3 - 1
LOU
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
NEW
0 - 0
LIS
32%
27%
42%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
LIS
2 - 1
LAR
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
LIS
3 - 2
INS
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
ZAL
1 - 0
LIS
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2005 |
ZAL
0 - 4
FKE
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2005 |
ATL
2 - 2
ZAL
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2005 |
NEV
0 - 2
ZAL
17%
25%
58%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
ZAL
1 - 0
VET
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |