Lisburn Distillery vs Queens University Belfast analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
55.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
6º
12º
6º
45
3º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 39 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 32 |
5º
|
80.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
27 | 28 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 27 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 23 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
75% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 18 |
11º
|
88.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
48% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
52% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
POR
1 - 2
LIS
53%
21%
27%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
DOL
4 - 0
LIS
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
LIM
3 - 0
LIS
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
LIS
0 - 5
BAN
13%
19%
68%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
LIS
0 - 3
BAN
28%
24%
48%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Queens University Belfast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
QUB
2 - 1
TOB
82%
12%
6%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
POR
2 - 3
QUB
29%
25%
47%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
BRF
2 - 3
QUB
68%
19%
14%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
QUB
3 - 1
MOY
44%
23%
33%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
QUB
1 - 2
BAN
27%
23%
50%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |