Lisburn Distillery vs PSNI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
11.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
DOL
2 - 0
LIS
42%
23%
35%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
BAL
4 - 0
LIS
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
LIS
0 - 4
QUB
30%
24%
46%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BAN
0 - 1
LIS
22%
23%
55%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
BRF
1 - 4
LIS
61%
19%
20%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
PSNI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
PSN
0 - 2
RRF
68%
16%
16%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
TOB
0 - 2
PSN
53%
20%
27%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
WAR
7 - 1
PSN
88%
9%
3%
|
28 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
PSN
0 - 1
MOY
20%
20%
60%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
PSN
1 - 4
DOL
30%
21%
49%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -2 |