Lisburn Distillery vs Portstewart analysis

Lisburn Distillery Portstewart
41 ELO 42
4.7% Tilt 16.4%
6207º General ELO ranking 7062º
35º Country ELO ranking 38º
ELO win probability
44.9%
Lisburn Distillery
24.1%
Draw
31%
Portstewart

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
Lisburn Distillery
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
31%
Win probability
Portstewart
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lisburn Distillery
-19%
+76%
Portstewart

Points and table prediction

Lisburn Distillery
Their league position
Portstewart
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
12º
21
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Bangor
53
57
100%
Ballymacash Rangers
44
47
78%
Queens University Belfast
45
45
78%
Limavady
35
39
99%
Moyola Park
29
32
80.5%
Lisburn Distillery
27
28
30.5%
Dollingstown
24
27
25.5%
Tobermore United
25
26
41.5%
Banbridge Town
10º
20
23
65.5%
Portstewart
21
21
10º
75%
Armagh City
11º
17
18
11º
88.5%
PSNI
12º
11
14
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Lisburn Distillery
Portstewart
Promotion play-offs
48% 0%
Relegation play-offs
52% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%

ELO progression

Lisburn Distillery
Portstewart
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lisburn Distillery
Lisburn Distillery
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Aug. 2022
BAN
Bangor
5 - 0
Lisburn Distillery
LIS
72%
16%
12%
42 50 8 0
06 Aug. 2022
LIS
Lisburn Distillery
2 - 1
PSNI
PSN
63%
19%
18%
42 30 12 0
03 May. 2022
LIS
Lisburn Distillery
6 - 1
Tobermore United
TOB
77%
14%
9%
41 27 14 +1
26 Apr. 2022
POR
Portstewart
3 - 0
Lisburn Distillery
LIS
47%
24%
29%
43 46 3 -2
23 Apr. 2022
LIS
Lisburn Distillery
2 - 1
Moyola Park
MOY
57%
22%
21%
42 38 4 +1

Matches

Portstewart
Portstewart
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Aug. 2022
POR
Portstewart
0 - 3
Ballymacash Rangers
BRF
32%
25%
43%
44 49 5 0
09 Aug. 2022
MOY
Moyola Park
4 - 1
Portstewart
POR
30%
24%
47%
46 39 7 -2
29 Jul. 2022
POR
Portstewart
1 - 4
Coleraine
COL
10%
18%
73%
46 67 21 0
09 Jul. 2022
POR
Portstewart
1 - 4
Ballymena United
BAL
11%
19%
70%
46 65 19 0
03 May. 2022
MOY
Moyola Park
3 - 2
Portstewart
POR
25%
24%
51%
47 37 10 -1