Lisburn Distillery vs Portstewart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
31%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+76%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
6º
12º
6º
21
7º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 39 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 32 |
5º
|
80.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
27 | 28 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 27 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 23 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
75% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 18 |
11º
|
88.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
48% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
52% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
BAN
5 - 0
LIS
72%
16%
12%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
LIS
2 - 1
PSN
63%
19%
18%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2022 |
LIS
6 - 1
TOB
77%
14%
9%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
POR
3 - 0
LIS
47%
24%
29%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
LIS
2 - 1
MOY
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Portstewart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
POR
0 - 3
BRF
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
MOY
4 - 1
POR
30%
24%
47%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
POR
1 - 4
COL
10%
18%
73%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
POR
1 - 4
BAL
11%
19%
70%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2022 |
MOY
3 - 2
POR
25%
24%
51%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |