Lisburn Distillery vs Portstewart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
24.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
DUN
2 - 2
LIS
69%
17%
14%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
ARC
1 - 2
LIS
39%
23%
37%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
LIS
1 - 2
NEY
63%
19%
17%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
BAN
1 - 1
LIS
42%
24%
34%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
LIS
1 - 1
TOB
42%
23%
35%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Portstewart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
POR
2 - 0
TOB
35%
24%
41%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
DON
1 - 2
POR
64%
19%
17%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
AUN
2 - 1
POR
50%
21%
30%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
POR
1 - 0
ARC
22%
23%
55%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +3 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
MOY
1 - 0
POR
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |