Lisburn Distillery vs Lurgan Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.1%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
6.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
LIS
4 - 3
CRE
88%
9%
4%
|
51 | 10 | 41 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
LIS
1 - 1
QUB
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
POR
1 - 1
LIS
31%
23%
46%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
SUF
2 - 4
LIS
4%
10%
86%
|
51 | 12 | 39 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
LIS
7 - 2
SYL
70%
17%
13%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Lurgan Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
LCE
1 - 5
TOB
28%
23%
50%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
LCE
2 - 3
POR
30%
23%
47%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
NEY
1 - 2
LCE
69%
18%
13%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
LCE
0 - 2
MOY
35%
23%
42%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
ARC
1 - 2
LCE
57%
20%
23%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +4 |