Lisburn Distillery vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
62.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
LIS
2 - 5
DUN
38%
28%
34%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2010 |
LIS
0 - 0
GLE
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
LIS
0 - 2
CLI
25%
25%
50%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
CRU
2 - 0
LIS
68%
20%
13%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
LIS
3 - 2
COL
29%
26%
45%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
LIN
5 - 0
NEW
66%
21%
14%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2010 |
GLE
2 - 2
LIN
44%
25%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
DON
0 - 4
LIN
23%
22%
55%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
BAL
2 - 0
LIN
17%
23%
60%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2009 |
LIN
1 - 2
GLE
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |