Lisburn Distillery vs Limavady analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
51.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
6º
12º
6º
35
4º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 39 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 32 |
5º
|
80.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
27 | 28 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 27 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 23 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
75% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 18 |
11º
|
88.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
48% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
52% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
TOB
0 - 1
LIS
21%
19%
59%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
LIS
3 - 1
PSN
77%
14%
9%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LIS
2 - 0
DOL
21%
22%
57%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +3 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BAN
3 - 2
LIS
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
LIS
2 - 1
QUB
22%
23%
55%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +3 |
Matches
Limavady
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
BAN
1 - 0
LIM
59%
21%
19%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LIM
2 - 0
DOL
58%
22%
21%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LIM
1 - 1
BRF
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
DOL
1 - 2
LIM
44%
24%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
TOB
0 - 5
LIM
14%
20%
66%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | +1 |