Lisburn Distillery vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.4%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
72.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
13%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
LIS
0 - 4
LCE
10%
17%
73%
|
26 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
DER
1 - 1
LIS
81%
13%
6%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
KNO
2 - 2
LIS
85%
10%
4%
|
25 | 52 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
LIS
1 - 9
ARC
13%
19%
68%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
LIS
0 - 3
DON
60%
20%
21%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
INS
1 - 2
ARD
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
LAR
1 - 3
INS
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
INS
2 - 0
LOU
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
LCE
2 - 2
INS
52%
23%
25%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
AUN
0 - 2
INS
36%
23%
41%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +2 |