Lisburn Distillery vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
38.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
POR
1 - 0
LIS
72%
18%
11%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
LIS
0 - 1
DUN
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
LIS
0 - 2
BAL
34%
25%
41%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
GLE
7 - 0
LIS
64%
20%
17%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
LIS
0 - 1
DON
67%
19%
15%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
INS
5 - 0
CAR
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
INS
1 - 2
WAR
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2013 |
LAR
0 - 4
INS
26%
24%
50%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
ARD
1 - 1
INS
50%
25%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
HAR
0 - 2
INS
33%
26%
41%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |